You will find that not all congressional districts have data due to pending litigation regarding the adoption of new redistricting plans. The Congressional District Map reflects the 118th Congress (2023-2025). Meanwhile 71% in neighboring Grand County, Utah believe global warming is happening.Įxplore the maps by clicking on your state, congressional district, or county and compare the results across questions and with other geographic areas. Our new YCOM model estimates, however, show that only 49% of people in Emery County, Utah agree. Our national surveys show that 72% of Americans think global warming is happening. We can now estimate public opinion across the country and a rich picture of the diversity of Americans’ beliefs, attitudes, and policy support is revealed. Our team of scientists, however, has developed a geographic and statistical model to downscale national public opinion results to the state, congressional district, and county levels. So why would we rely on just one national number to understand public responses to climate change at the state and local levels? Public opinion polling is generally done at the national level, because local level polling is very costly and time intensive. Public opinion about global warming is an important influence on decision making about policies to reduce global warming or prepare for the impacts, but American opinions vary widely depending on where people live. Landline and cellular telephone numbers are selected using random-digit-dial methods.This version of the Yale Climate Opinion Maps is based on data through fall 2023. Samples for Alaska, North Dakota, Vermont, Delaware, Wyoming, Rhode Island, Hawaii and South Dakota were supplemented with additional cases from 2018 Gallup Poll Social Series interviews.Īll reported margins of sampling error include computed design effects for weighting.Įach sample of national adults includes a minimum quota of 70% cellphone respondents and 30% landline respondents, with additional minimum quotas by time zone within region. The margin of sampling error for most states is ±4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. Sample sizes for states ranged from 232 in Alaska to 8,116 in California. For results based on the total sample of national adults, the margin of sampling error is ☑ percentage point at the 95% confidence level. Poll with a random sample of 75,669 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted in 2018 on the Gallup U.S. Data for AK, DE, HI, ND, RI, SD, VT and WY based on combined data from 2018 Gallup tracking and 2018 Gallup Poll Social Series surveys.Įditor's Note: The story has been updated to correct the sample size of national adults. Massachusetts was the first state Gallup measured with more liberal than conservative identifiers (in 2008) and has been the state most consistently leaning more liberal than conservative.īased on 2018 Gallup tracking. Massachusetts was the most liberal state in 2018, with 35% of its residents describing their political views as liberal and 21% as conservative. Twenty-nine percent of Mississippians said they are moderate, and 9% had no opinion. Mississippi ranked as the most conservative state in 2018, with 50% of residents identifying as conservative and 12% as liberal, for a gap of 38 points. Many of the changes are within the margin of error for the state's sample - states that barely tilted liberal in 2017 barely tilted conservative in 2018 - so it is unclear how meaningful these changes are. The number of states in which more residents identify as liberal than as conservative is down slightly from nine in 2017. "About average" states' residents prefer the conservative description by seven to 14 points, and those with gaps of zero to six points are considered "less conservative than average." States in which the conservative-liberal gap is 20 points or greater are considered "highly conservative." The "more conservative than average" states have gaps of between 15 and 19 points. These findings are based on aggregated data from Gallup's 2018 tracking poll in which respondents were asked to indicate whether they describe their political views as liberal, moderate or conservative. Nationally, the conservative advantage in ideological identification is nine percentage points, and reflects a narrowing of the conservative-liberal gap from 21 points in 2004.
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